Fears about the next national election

Whether the powerful country's diplomat said something undiplomatic, as alleged, and whether the government sounded extra-sensitive about the propriety of such utterances may perhaps be left to the experts of the foreign office and other analysts of our political scene. What, however, should genuinely worry concerned citizens of Bangladesh is the peaceful and fair holding of the next general election, because the major political parties of the country belonging to the opposition have demanded basic reforms of the Election Commission and the caretaker government, without which they would not participate in the election. The government in its initial response has almost rejected the opposition's demands, adding that some of these may be discussed in parliament if the major opposition party stops its boycott of the law-making body. The opposition in turn has said that they would compel the government, through mass-movement, to accept its demands. In fact, the opposition political parties are going to organise large-scale street agitation in support of their demands from late November, and the possibility of Awami League law-makers resigning en-masse in early 2006 is very much in the air.

The above positions definitely are not indicative of a positive election scenario, more so in the penultimate year of a political government in Bangladesh where, if past experience is any guide, as the incumbent's tenure nears the end, it behaves in a precariously despotic and insensitive manner, with the opposition displaying fearsome desperation to achieve its goals. So when desperation and despotism counter each other, there is a reasonable possibility of unwanted clashes taking place. Inevitability of such a scenario is encouraged and strengthened by the pathetic lack of sensitiveness to the public good by our political parties.

Insofar as the next general election is concerned, it is a matter of time to see how much of the utterances and threats of both the government and the major opposition, as mentioned hereinbefore, are real policies and strategies, and how much is just posturing. Whatever be the eventuality, there is an imperative need to allay the fears of the citizens with regard to the anticipated violence and mismanagement during the upcoming general election. The informed quarters know that a reasonably fair and peaceful election depends largely upon the goodwill of the general population, strengthened and encouraged by mainstream political parties and civil society groups being supplemented by the legal and enforcement arrangements of an over-stretched administration. Let us, therefore, examine the state of preparedness of the concerned agencies that oversee our election vis-a-vis the premonitions of violence, mismanagement, laxity in enforcement, and partisan conduct of public officials, amongst others.

Some electoral malpractices
If recent experience is any guide, then one may say with some certitude that the malpractice of false or bogus voting will assume a worrying proportion in the next election, which will be contested by two desperate political parties. It would be relevant to recount here that we do not have as yet a central registration of the population and the consequent provision of identity cards for each voter. This is the ground reality although we all know that impersonation and related malpractices seriously mar the credibility of our elections.

The uniformed law-enforcement personnel will not be of much help in detecting the above fraud and how the election officials will handle the problem is not appreciated by many. It appears that a very vital administrative aid to ensure fair conduction of election has not received the appropriate attention. So when in neighbouring India electronic voting system is nearly complete, we are still bogged down over the voter ID project. Needless to mention that we have the right to know the details in this respect, because the constitutional body charged with the onerous duties of holding a credible election cannot perform its function satisfactorily without adequate preparation.

Voter list and the new election officials
There are reports of preparation of fresh voter list and alternately updating the present list. Going by newspaper reports one can see that no firm decision has been taken as yet regarding the options. The worrying part is that there is divergence of opinion amongst the Election Commissioners on this subject which admittedly is contentious because it facilitates voting fraud and crimes of other descriptions. Already there is allegation of this list being prepared by manifestly partisan persons or beneficiaries of the present government. Should it so happen then the apprehended motivated deletion, alteration, or addition will lead to serious law and order problem.

The recent appointment of 150 election officers, mostly allegedly partisan student and youth leaders belonging to the ruling party, is another problematic dimension of the conduction of election that might lead to serious altercation, resulting in violence. The fact that these persons have been appointed by the Public Service Commission will not mitigate the problem because ground reality and popular perception about the impartiality of public appointments do not appear to be reassuring. Against this background, the cancellation of such appointments as demanded by the opposition further complicates the prospect of fair and peaceful elections. It remains to be seen how the authorities handle this delicate scenario.

Conduct of public servants
All public servants entrusted with election duties come under the control and supervision of the Election Commission during a fixed period. That is the official position. However, posting of loyal and pliable officials in key positions by the party government prior to relinquishing power to the caretaker government has created administrative complications. In 2001, after the dissolution of government, thirteen Secretaries to the government were transferred on the very first day the caretaker chief assumed charge of office. Later on, there was large-scale transfer of Deputy Commissioners and Superintendents of Police of districts along with wholesale transfer of all officers-in-charge of the police stations of the country. Whether such massive exercise, entailing huge expenditure of the public exchequer was in the real interests of impartial conduction of national election, has not been established beyond doubt. A particular political party continues to complain that officials hostile to them were deliberately posted to key positions and that such officials acted in a very partisan manner during the election. Many such officials were allegedly rewarded with prize postings after election. Whatever be the merits of such officials, the allegations of the particular political party cannot be brushed aside under the circumstances.

The key question, however, is what is the criteria of selecting and posting an impartial pubic official during election time. Officially, all public servants are regulation-bound to act in a neutral and non-partisan manner. The ground reality, however, is that officials appointed and posted by a particular party government are not considered trustworthy by the opposition. So what would be the scenario like during the next election? This issue would be very crucial because public servants in key positions have considerable influence on the election process. Without doubt, there would be demands and counter demands, allegations and counter allegations about the suitability of a particular public official. The Election Commission and the next CTG would have to do serious homework to work out their strategy to face such eventuality and come up with reasonably satisfying solutions. The quality of law enforcement prior to and during the election will depend significantly on the handling of this issue. One has to bear in mind the premature retirement and superceding of a number of public officials by the present government allegedly on grounds of partiality and unreliability. The acrimony amongst public servants, both serving and retired, cannot be wished away. Proper law enforcement would compel a hard look at such unpleasant reality.

Deployment of armed forces
The deployment of armed forces personnel has had without doubt a salutary effect on the election process in Bangladesh. However, there were occasions when the political government was reluctant to deploy armed forces personnel even after repeated requests from the Election Commission. There were difference of opinion even on the manner of their deployment between the two authorities. The Election Commission conducts and manages the national election with the support of caretaker government, but the decision to deploy the armed services personnel for election, including its timing, rests exclusively on the President of the Republic, who, however, will have the benefit of advice of the council of advisers and chiefs of the services. Past experience indicates that while the immediate past opposition political party insists on armed forces personnel deployment one month prior to the actual holding of election, the outgoing political party that wielded power recommends deployment one week prior to the election day. The time and the manner of such deployment will come under intense public scrutiny during the next election. Prudent and efficient handling of this issue will have immense impact on the law enforcement. The Election Commission and the caretaker government will be hard-pressed to make appropriate decision on this sensitive aspect.

From the above it appears that unless sufficient precautionary and remedial political and administrative action are taken in time, the election scenario will remain fraught with grave threats to public peace. The major political parties have a do or die mentality in their preparation for the battle at the hustings, which undoubtedly does not bode well for a democratic polity. For many, this looks like the last election of their lifetime. Unfortunately, such smaller men and women who somehow have been thrust into positions of national responsibility are sadly unable to look beyond their nose. The myopia of such elements disgraces the inherent goodness of our common folks, whose resilience and patience demand an enlightened management of the affairs of the state, including the election.

Muhammad Nurul Huda is a former Secretary and IGP.